NZ · AU · IE

Clear analysis for airport pricing, demand and capacity decisions.

CSV helps airports and aviation organisations build usable models, test their options and explain decisions to airlines, boards and stakeholders.

Discuss a project

See selected work

Three demand paths for a master plan

Annual passengers, indexed (Illustrative)

What this helps you decide: how much terminal and apron capacity to plan, and when.

Michael Hawley, principal

Michael Hawley has worked on the airport and airline side: Air New Zealand network planning, Auckland Airport aeronautical commercial, and Head of Aeronautical at Queenstown Airport. First-class degrees in statistics and operations management.

Capability Statement (PDF)

About Michael

What CSV does

Bounded projects or embedded contract support. Every model is handed over so your team can keep using it.

When a pricing review or airline consultation is coming

Airport pricing and financial modelling

A transparent pricing and scenario model, the assumptions behind it, and consultation material airlines can follow.

02 · DEMAND

Passenger forecasting and planning

For a master plan or investment case. Forecast scenarios, peak-hour schedules and sensitivity tests.

Have a decision coming up?

Tell me the question and the deadline. I'll reply with how I'd approach it.

Discuss a project

mike@csv.co.nz

Airport Regulated Pricing

Designing airport pricing structures requires both financial rigour and regulatory insight. I develop aeronautical pricing models that comply with New Zealand’s regulatory framework while remaining practical for airports and airlines. Through detailed financial modelling and consultation, I help establish transparent, defensible charges that balance fair returns with sustainable long-term growth.

Passenger Forecasting

Forecasting passenger demand is critical for infrastructure planning and slot allocation. I build models that integrate economic trends, market dynamics, and operational constraints, drawing on experience in network planning at Air New Zealand and business development at Auckland Airport. From long-term forecasts such as the ZQN Masterplan to short-term capacity planning, my work provides a clear evidence base for confident decision making.

Insights and analysis

Transforming complex aviation, tourism, and economic data into practical solutions is at the core of my work. Using Excel, Power BI, and R, I create models that reveal trends, evaluate capacity, and support strategy. My analysis spans passenger demand, operational efficiency, and market assessments, ensuring insights are both clear and actionable. This turns data into a tangible advantage for airports and stakeholders alike.

  • Built a robust and transparent aeronautical pricing model aligned with Commerce Commission guidelines. The model maintained fairness for airlines while supporting financial sustainability, improved usability, and enabled scenario analysis for future planning.

  • Queenstown Airport

    Long term passenger forecasting. Introducing L3 Slot Coordination. And managing regulated airport pricing.

  • The project developed an efficient and fair scheduling system for Milford Sound Port to manage increasing demand while ensuring safety and operational effectiveness. Through data analysis and stakeholder consultation, a structured scheduling framework was created, including defined parameters, a baseline schedule, and scheduling rules. The final system optimizes resource use, aligns boat movements with port capacity, and minimizes delays and operational risks.

  • MIDAS

    Freelance consulting support.

CSV Dashboard

Recent Posts

Michael Hawley

Freelance Consultant

  • I have worked with major airports to develop comprehensive passenger forecasting models, regulated pricing structures, and slot coordination frameworks. Notably, I played a key role in establishing level three slot constraints at Queenstown Airport, ensuring alignment between operational capacity and demand. My work also includes developing aeronautical pricing models in line with Commerce Commission guidelines and delivering stakeholder engagement strategies for major pricing events.

    Recently, I have supported airports in infrastructure planning, assessing capacity constraints, and implementing data-driven scheduling solutions. My experience extends to working with tourism and transport organizations to forecast demand and support commercial decision-making with robust analytical frameworks.

  • My expertise centers on four key areas critical to airport and aviation development:

    • Insights & Analysis – Translating complex aviation, tourism, and economic data into actionable insights that drive decision-making and operational efficiency.

    • Airport Regulated Pricing – Developing aeronautical pricing models aligned with regulatory requirements, ensuring fair returns and strategic infrastructure investment.

    • Passenger Forecasting & Peak Schedules – Creating detailed forecasting models that support short-term operational planning, peak schedule management, and long-term infrastructure planning.

    • Slot Coordination – Implementing strategic slot management frameworks that optimize airport capacity, balancing efficiency with regulatory and stakeholder requirements.

  • With extensive experience in aviation, tourism, and airport operations, I specialize in providing data-driven insights that inform strategic decision-making. My expertise spans passenger forecasting, airport pricing, infrastructure planning, and slot coordination, ensuring that stakeholders have the analytical tools needed to optimize operations and plan for future growth. Having led forecasting and capacity planning initiatives at Queenstown and other airports, I bring a deep understanding of regulatory frameworks, airline strategy, and long-term infrastructure investment.

  • With a background in Statistics and Operations Management, I use tools such as Excel, Power BI, R, and Python to develop advanced forecasting models, financial simulations, and reporting frameworks. My approach ensures that complex data is accessible, actionable, and aligned with operational and financial objectives.

Contact.

mike@csv.co.nz
(+64) 27 590 4045

25 Mulholland Drive
Queenstown